Diary of a Punter: A low-scoring game between Chelsea and Liverpool plus a 14/5 treble

Either way, it was much needed profit for the week as I try to claw my way back from losses earlier in the season and I’m in confident mood again this week with an outright bet in the Chelsea v Liverpool match and a both teams to score Premier League treble that I believe will land this weekend.

Bet 1: Chelsea v Liverpool: Under 2.5 goals at 11/10 (2.10)

My first bet this week is in the Chelsea versus Liverpool match which kicks-off at 4pm on Sunday and will hopefully see a great game as we’ve become accustomed to when these two sides have met in the past.

However, a lot has changed of late with Liverpool in particular losing their way and still struggling to fully come to terms with Brendan Rodgers’ way of playing the game.

A draw against Newcastle last week, despite playing them off the park for the majority of the game, underlines the Reds’ need for an out-and-out goal scorer and if Chelsea can cope with Luis Suarez, you have to think that Liverpool will struggle.

Chelsea on the other hand have a formidable attacking midfield, with Eden Hazard pulling the strings of this particular puppet show and could be boosted by the potential return of Juan Mata. If Torres was firing on all cylinders too, then they’d be near unstoppable.

With an open, passing game and plenty of flair players on show, you’d expect this to be a bit of a goal fest but I’m going to be backing the under 2.5 goal market for the game and believe it will be a much closer affair.

For a start, both teams will have had tough European games in midweek – Liverpool in particular with a trip to Russia with a very thin squad – but more importantly, when you check out the head-to-head stats, you realise that six of the last eight games these two sides have competed in have ended in under 2.5 goals.

The price is currently 11/10 (2.10) and I will have £20 of my bankroll on this.

Bet 2: Both Teams to Score Treble at 17/5 (4.38)

My final bet is a both teams to score treble involving the Wigan v West Brom, Southampton v Swansea and Arsenal v Fulham games. The treble pays around 17/5 (4.38) at Paddy Power and £10 of my bankroll is going on this.

Head-to-head, Wigan and West Brom have seen five of their last six games where both teams have got on the score sheet, whilst on individual form alone, both sides have had four of their last six games with both teams scoring. Roberto Martinez and Steve Clark have got both their respective sides playing some nice football and both have started the season much better than many had expected.

Southampton may not have had many results so far in the league and Nigel Adkins must be looking over his shoulder waiting for the axe to fall, but you can’t say that they haven’t been entertaining with goals flowing in their games.

They definitely have the firepower in the likes of Lallana, Lambert, Ramirez and Rodriguez but they also have an amazing ability to ship goals at the other end. Five of their last six Premier League games have seen both teams score.

Swansea’s recent Premier League games have seen both teams score in only three of the last six but their recent success against Chelsea and Liverpool (in the League Cup) will leave them well up for playing a side that’s leaking goals. Head-to-head, these sides have seen four of the last six games with both teams scoring.

Which brings us on to Arsenal and Fulham. In recent years, Arsenal would have had no problem keeping a clean sheet at home, but this year they seem much more prone to lapses in concentration and individual errors, whilst players such as Koscielny and Vermaelen just can’t seem to find any form.

Fulham on the other hand, as mentioned above, just keep on scoring and conceding, making them the perfect side to be up against Arsenal when we’re looking for a both-teams-to-score bet.

Five of Fulham’s last six games have seen both sides score, whilst four of Arsenals last six have done likewise. Head-to-head, four from the last six Premier League games have seen both Arsenal and Fulham score.

With Podolski, Walcott, Cazorla and Giroud, Arsenal have plenty of threat going forwards, but after a tough European tie against Schalke (where they dropped two goals), the threat that Fulham carry in Berbatov, Petrov, Ruiz and Duff is arguably just as strong.

Win a £20 free bet

We also had a winner of the Paddy Power free £20 bet as Dermot Lally correctly predicted that Ipswich would beat Birmingham City. Congratulations to him and if you want to win a £20 bet this week

Wherever you are this weekend, enjoy your football and your betting and remember that we’ve got a £20 free bet to give away each week thanks to Paddy Power. To win just email your best tip for the weekend with the word “20BET” in the subject line.

Be it a well-priced single, an ambitious multiple or any other bet available in all of Paddy Power’s football markets around the world for games taking place from 10th – 11th November; surely you can find a winning tip! Just send in your selection (one entry per reader), the price available at Paddy Power, and include “20BET” in the subject line before midday on Saturday to enter. Good luck!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *