Pete Nordsted: Backing Arsenal against Tottenham in Saturday’s early kick-off

This Saturday sees one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season when the two north London giants Arsenal and Spurs clash at Emirates Stadium in the early afternoon kick off.

This match could not have come at a worse time for Gunners manager Arsene Wenger whose side have made their worst ever start to a Premier League campaign.

When the two sides met here last season the Arsenal boss was also under some pressure which was relieved by his side’s 5-2 victory over their neighbours after going behind in the early stages.

Andre Villas-Boas is also going through a lean spell of his own after previously winning four matches in a row including the historical 3-2 win at Old Trafford over table-toppers Manchester United.

But following that run Spurs have now only won one of their last four matches and that was at struggling Southampton.

Indeed apart from the above result at Manchester United, Spurs’ results against the Premier League elite is fairly poor and since the 2009-10 season, their record away to the top four sides reads won three, drawn one and lost 11.

The Gunners record at home to teams of Spurs’ quality reads won five, drawn three and lost two. Indeed, when these two sides have met at Emirates Stadium in recent years Arsenal have won three of the last five.

So with the pressure on there could be value in backing the home side to get the better of things here. Spurs’ general away form to the top four sides is poor and Wenger’s charges are worth backing at 10/11 (1.91) .

Later on in the afternoon, Liverpool take on Wigan at Anfield and I quite like the look of backing the visitors +1.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at 17/20 (1.85) .

For this bet to lose, Liverpool would have to win by two or more goals. If they win by the single goal then you receive half of the odds. Given the above stats this looks a reasonable option.

When looking at Liverpool’s record at home to sides of Wigan’s quality we see that they have only covered this handicap in one of 10 matches and in the case of Wigan they have not lost on this handicap in all 10 of their last 10 away games to teams of Liverpool’s grading.

Arsenal v Tottenham
Liverpool v Wigan

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