Monthly Archives: May 2014

Betting: Get Liverpool or Manchester City to win the Premier League at 4/1

Manuel Pellegrini’s men may be odds on but Paddy Power are offering new customers the chance to avail of a very generous price on either of the two main contenders

Chelsea’s victory at Liverpool last weekend may have put them second in the Premier League table but the bookmakers agree with Blues boss Jose Mourinho, who said his side have little chance of securing the title this season.

That leaves Manchester City and Liverpool to battle it out and, this weekend, Paddy Power are offering new customers the chance to back either of the main title contenders at 4/1 (5.0).

Manuel Pellegrini’s men are currently the odds on favourites, having been 9/2 (5.50) in places before Liverpool’s 11-match winning run came to an abrupt end at the hands of Chelsea on Sunday.

City then went on to record a routine 2-0 victory over Crystal Palace – who themselves came into the game at Selhurst Park on a fantastic run of form – to cement their position as title favourites, despite sitting in third position ahead of the next round of matches.

City’s game in hand and superior goal difference (currently eight better than Liverpool) means they look worthy favourites ahead of Saturday’s trip to Goodison Park, so the chance to back them at 4/1 (5.0) instead of the current industry-best price of 5/6 (1.83) looks a solid option for punters who want to have a good chance at starting their account off with a win.

There will be those who doubt City’s ability to gain maximum points from their remaining three games, though, and a case can be made for Brendan Rodgers’ Liverpool side, who have been so impressive over the last three months, making the transition from also-rans to dark horses, all the way through to 1/5 (1.20) favourites for the Premier League title before their defeat last weekend.

The combination of Daniel Sturridge and Luis Suarez, amply supplied by the likes of Raheem Sterling, Philippe Coutinho and Steven Gerrard has been irresistible at times and they will have their supporters at 11/8 (2.38) in anticipation that they can either turn around the goal difference target (which looks a possibility with Newcastle in such lethargic form) or that Manchester City drop points over the next two weeks to allow them a way back in.

As a result, Paddy Power’s offer of 4/1 (5.0) should also prove popular, especially with Manchester City’s recent trips to Everton bearing very little fruit and Roberto Martinez insisting that his side will be fully committed to trying to gain maximum points to boost their chances of European football, even if a positive result hands Liverpool the upper hand in the title race.

Whichever of the two teams is your pick for Premier League glory over the next two weeks the chance to back them at a vastly enhanced price looks too good to turn down for anyone without a Paddy Power account.
 

Jim Knight is Chief Betting Editor at Goal.com and has been tipping football games since he was old enough to place a bet. He is a Leicester City fan, writer and member of the We Are Going Up Podcast

Lucas relishing more attacking role at Liverpool

The Brazilian says he is working hard to adjust to playing in front of captain Steven Gerrard and believes he will go from strength to strength with more time on the field

Lucas Leiva insists he is comfortable with a more attacking midfield role at Liverpool under Brendan Rodgers.

The 27-year-old joined from Gremio in 2007, and forged a reputation as a destructive presence for the Merseyside club, breaking up attacks in front of the back four.

But this season Rodgers has opted to use Steven Gerrard in that deep-lying role, with the likes of Lucas and Jordan Henderson taking up positions further up the field.

And the Brazilian says it is a task he is more than happy to undertake.

“It’s something I feel comfortable with,” he told Liverpool’s official website. “Of course, as much as you play you feel even more comfortable. You know you can help more. Football is like that.

“We [Lucas and Rodgers] sat down in January, where he explained that he wanted to use Stevie as a holding player and me on the side of the three midfielders or the diamond. I had to re-adjust.

“The team is doing so well and it is difficult for the manager to change things. You understand that. I know that the only way is to train hard and prepare.

“I know Stevie is playing in my position and doing very, very well.

“So that’s why I’m working hard and maybe looking – not towards another position – but maybe another way I can help, and still play beside Stevie.

“Because I know him being in the team in that position, my chances will be limited. He’s our leader. So I just have to see if I can help in any way. Especially being here for so long, I want to be part of it.”

Why Everton won’t throw Manchester City game to hurt Liverpool’s title hopes

Roberto Martinez’s side look like the Reds’ last chance to get their trophy push back on track but talk of the Toffees deliberately losing are wide of the mark

COMMENT
By Jay Jaffa

Barring a very unlikely set of results in the final two Premier League games, it is relatively safe to assume that Arsenal will be playing Champions League football next year and Everton, Europa League. What is not clear yet, though, is who will win the title. Suddenly a large amount of responsibility on that outcome lies on Roberto Martinez and his players as they prepare to face Manchester City on Sunday.

The problem, as many from the blue side of Merseyside will attest, is that gaining a result against City would almost certainly open the door for Liverpool – their arch-rivals – to win the Premier League crown.

After losing 2-0 at Anfield last Sunday to Chelsea, the Reds need City, who have a vastly superior goal difference, to slip up in one of their remaining games. With Aston Villa and West Ham their final two fixtures – both at home – hope rests on their trip to Goodison Park.

Naturally, though, there is consternation amongst Liverpool fans that their cross-city rivals might just roll over and let Manuel Pellegrini’s side win – a feeling not that unfamiliar in scenarios similar to this one.

Martinez was keen to point out in his pre-match press conference that he will ensure that his team do all they can to honour the integrity of competition; a good start.

He told reporters on Thursday: “I always felt the relationship between the two clubs in this city has had incredible chapters and this would be another fascinating one but there is no doubting our integrity towards the league and the competition.

“We want to win every single game we go into. They are precious points for us and we cannot afford not to give everything we have.

“But helping other teams? That’s not the way we do our work. We’re just focusing on trying to win for ourselves and have real high standards in every game that we go into and represent our football club.

“We would never contemplate giving anything other than our best. We’re not coming out to do any one a favour. We have our own pride.”

Two defeats in their last three games, just as Arsenal have found their stride again, have derailed Everton’s push for the top four and only an unlikely set of results would see the Toffees break into the top four.

Fortunately for the pessimists, they are still within touching distance of Arsene Wenger’s men – four points behind – and as such it would be surprising to see them take their foot off the gas at Goodison Park.

A statistic has been doing the rounds this week; plugged optimistically by title-yearning Liverpool fans. Which team have won 10 of their last 15 home matches against City with just one defeat in that time? It is, of course, Everton. The omens look good.

The outcome does depend on us trusting the integrity of two managers, 22 players and a host of people behind the scenes but there are recent examples of similar situations which suggest that the Premier League remains a noble competition.

You may remember the conclusion to the 2002-03 season, when Arsenal required a win over Leeds at Highbury to ensure that they pushed leaders Manchester United to the wire. Peter Reid’s side were battling relegation at the time, more than enough reason to give their all in fairness, but the distaste between Leeds and United is well known. The eventual Mark Viduka-inspired 3-2 win handed Sir Alex Ferguson’s side their 15th title.

In 1994-95, United had to rely on Liverpool to beat Blackburn on the final day if they were to leapfrog Kenny Dalglish’s team. The Reds duly did their duty, coming out of a three-game winless slump to triumph 2-1 at Anfield. West Ham put a spanner in the works that year, though, holding United to a 1-1 draw, thus gifting the title to Blackburn.     

It is easier to recall contrasting examples; moments in which teams have happily played out results that would scupper their rivals’ title ambitions, but that is not to say that the other end of the spectrum is blank – it is just less memorable.

Here is a prime example of the more memorable version of events from the 2009-10 Eredivisie season: Steve McClaren’s FC Twente led the league by a point with two games to go. Following their 1-0 loss at AZ, McClaren’s side faced Feyenoord at home knowing that anything other than victory would likely see them lose their grip on the title.

Feyenoord – fierce rivals with Ajax – could shape the destiny of the Eredivisie and the club’s supporters were all too aware, approaching the players at the Rotterdam training facility and imploring their team to lose. That they did, 2-0 on the day, and Twente held their nerve to win the first title in the club’s history.

What is probably less well known is the scenario which emerged in the following season as Feyenoord played PSV at the De Kuip. Mario Been’s side were sitting 11th at the time of the match but knew that if they beat high-flying PSV, the destination of the title would be in Ajax’s hands. A 3-1 victory did just that and, on a moral level, may have atoned for the previous season. Either way it was an honourable outcome for those still smarting from the previous year.

Back to the modern day and over to Spain where Barcelona may face a similar quandary with the Primera Division title race. It is complicated but, if Atletico Madrid drop points before the final round of fixtures and lead the league by two points or fewer (with Real their nearest challengers), Tata Martino’s side could decide whether the title heads to the red or white half of Madrid at Camp Nou on the final day.

This debate is legitimate. There have been examples throughout the history of football (in note form: West Germany played out a mutually agreeable 1-0 win over Austria at World Cup 1982 to ensure qualification, Roma collapsed in the second half of their game against Juventus in 1972-73 to prevent Lazio winning the Scudetto, Lazio returned the favour in 2009-10 as Inter won in Rome to move ahead of Roma) of ‘convenient’ results occurring.

There are, however, few – if any – notable examples in English football. This is a game that prides itself, rightly or naively, on the virtues of integrity and honesty within its domestic competitions. Critics have used this aversion to the darker arts as a stick with which to beat the national game – “too honest for our own good” the soundbite, but reputations stick for a reason.

Search for ‘match-fixing in English football’ on Wikipedia and you will happen across a tiny article containing a mere seven incidents in over 150 years of history. Do the same with Italian football and the top two results are whole pages dedicated to the Calciopoli and Calcioscommesse scandals of 2006 and 2011-12.

It is different worlds, different cultures and one that Everton would not be happy to join. Their match against Manchester City has relevance in their own narrative this season. It is just unfortunate that the outcome could shape the narrative of a club so close to ending a 24-year top-flight drought, as well as a club so fiercly loathed by Evertonians.

If Liverpool do end up empty-handed in two weeks’ time, they will surely have themselves to blame rather than Martinez’s side.