Monthly Archives: January 2013

Liverpool fly out to Italy to negotiate Coutinho transfer

By Wayne Veysey | Chief Correspondent

A Liverpool delegation flew out to Italy on Wednesday to negotiate the transfer of Inter playmaker Philippe Coutinho, Goal.comunderstands.

The Anfield officials, led by managing director Ian Ayre, are hopeful of agreeing a deal for the 20-year-old Brazilian.

But they face competition from Southampton, who have also declared an interest in capturing Coutinho.

Liverpool had a bid of around €7.7 million rejected for Coutinho last week but are confident an improved offer will be accepted by the Serie A giants.

Inter have placed a valuation of €11-13m on the attacking midfielder, who has played a single full international for Brazil.

Coutinho’s public stance is that he is happy to stay at Inter but Liverpool have been given encouragement that a deal is possible this month, given the state of finances at the Italian club.

The player signed for Inter from Vasco da Gama when he was 16, though he spent a further two years at the Brazilian club before moving to Italy. Coutinho had a productive spell on loan at Espanyol in the second half of last season before returning in the summer to Inter.

Despite starting only three of the club’s Serie A matches this season – and making 10 league appearances in total – Coutinho is regarded as an emerging star.

Speaking to Sky Italia earlier this week about Liverpool’s interest, he said: “The Liverpool offer? I’m happy with these offers, because it means I am doing my job well.

“But I think Inter have faith in me and I want to show my value here. I don’t feel that I’m on my way out. I hope to stay at Inter. The young players feel the faith of the coach and of the club.”

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Why goal-threat Coutinho is what Liverpool really need in January

COMMENT
By David Lynch

When Brendan Rodgers arrived at Liverpool over the summer alongside his Swansea protege Joe Allen, it is doubtful that the 39-year-old believed he had inherited a problematic midfield. His new club already possessed a top-notch holding man in Lucas Leiva, a world-class attacking midfielder in Steven Gerrard and, having purchased Allen, the presence which could knit these two talents together.

The bonus signing of Nuri Sahin and Jordan Henderson’s decision to stay and fight for his place meant the middle of the park actually appeared to be the single most well-stocked area of the squad. But, a setback in the form of a two-month lay-off for Lucas early in the season soon put paid to that theory.
Gerrard and Allen’s roles changed significantly during this period, as the pair were asked to drop deep whilst Jonjo Shelvey took on attacking duties. Unfortunately for the Welsh half of that holding duo, only Gerrard has seen off the challenge of Lucas’ return – but the most significant factor for Liverpool as a whole is that he has not reverted to an attacking role.

Gerrard and Liverpool’s benchmark-setting season in the Premier League era was arguably in 2008-09, as they finished just four points behind eventual champions Manchester United after a thrilling title chase. The Huyton-born captain excelled playing behind Fernando Torres as the Reds flourished that term; therefore it provides the best statistical evidence of the 32-year-old’s evolving responsibilities.

As is to be expected under a manager who prioritises ball retention, Liverpool’s possession statistics are up even on that unparalleled season, with the Reds completing an average of 534 passes per game as opposed to 513 in 08-09. Predictably, Gerrard is no different in that regard, averaging 74 passes per game in comparison to the 64 he produced four seasons ago.

The most telling figure, however, is that Gerrard has made 36 per cent of his numerous passes this season from the defensive third, whilst just 23% came from that area in 2008-09. The midfielder is undoubtedly moving deeper as age catches up with him and, despite being just one short of the career-best nine assists he provided in 2008-09, his gradual retreat has caused one sizeable issue this season; a huge void behind the strikers.

Both Henderson and Allen have been experimented at the peak of the midfield, but neither is an attacking midfielder in its classic definition, having scored just seven and four career Premier League goals respectively. But if Rodgers wants his midfield to continue functioning – and, in recent weeks, it has been doing so for the first time since his arrival – the goal haul of Daniel Sturridge and Luis Suarez must be supplemented from elsewhere. Thus, the pursuit of Inter midfielder Philippe Coutinho makes perfect sense.

KOP WINDOW
TWO OF LIVERPOOL’S TOP TARGETS

COUTINHO

INCE

 CLUB: Inter
NATIONALITY: Brazilian
AGE: 20
POSITION:Midfielder/winger
CAREER APPS: 96
CAREER GOALS: 15
 CLUB: Blackpool
NATIONALITY: English
AGE: 20
POSITION: Winger
CAREER APPS: 79
CAREER GOALS: 23

The Brazilian has played as a No. 10 in the past and may well be viewed as the long-term solution in that position but, should he arrive at Anfield this month, it is unlikely he will be given a baptism of fire in a role which is not exactly prevalent in English football. 

Much more likely is that the 20-year-old will be asked to come in from the left, a task he has performed with distinction several times in Italy and during a loan spell at Espanyol last season. Liverpool’s lack of goals from wide may have been masked by their desperate, season-defining pursuit of Sturridge, but with that desire sated, priorities should now shift accordingly.

Over the summer, the Merseyside club allowed Maxi Rodriguez, Dirk Kuyt and Craig Bellamy to depart, despite the trio contributing 20 goals from wide positions last season. So far this campaign, the combined efforts of Raheem Sterling, Stewart Downing, Fabio Borini, Oussama Assaidi and Suso have yielded just six.

Coutinho, meanwhile, has plundered three goals in just 10 starts despite falling out of favour at Inter, and that is undoubtedly the sort of return from the wings which would instantly improve Liverpool. In fact, somewhat incredibly given the club’s ill-advised summer policy, this threat could even be further boosted by the addition of a decidedly more long-term target in the shape of Tom Ince.

The former Reds trainee has scored 13 goals and provided 10 assists this term, statistics which far surpass those of the €18 million-rated Wilfried Zaha (even if they have come in the second tier of English football). Most encouragingly though, Ince has taken 72 shots in order to net on 13 occasions, a conversion rate of 18% which Liverpool’s most clinical winger in terms of shots-to-goals this season, Downing, comes nowhere near at 5%.

Barring a late twist in January – one which is entirely possible given the frantic nature of the window – Coutinho and Ince are likely to be the Merseysiders’ only remaining additions. But their status as young, talented, hungry players who resolve concerns regarding the current squad is particularly noteworthy for a club who have made headlines for the wrong reasons in recent times.

After years of inexplicably poor decisions in the transfer market, Liverpool might just be about to take control of their own destiny.

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Betting Special: Back Sturridge to keep on scoring for Liverpool

Liverpool’s January swoop for Chelsea striker Daniel Sturridge has paid immediate dividends, with the 23-year-old scoring in all three games for his new club so far.

A debut goal against Mansfield Town in the FA Cup after just seven minutes got Sturridge’s Reds career off to the right start, after he became disillusioned with life in west London.


The ex-Manchester City forward followed up that strike with the consolation effort against Manchester United, and he struck again and played a starring role in Liverpool’s recent 5-0 demolition of Norwich.

With talk of a burgeoning partnership with Luis Suarez already exciting supporters on Merseyside, have offered punters the chance to stake on how many Premier League goals Sturridge will end up with this term.

Already on two, the early favourite with the bookmakers is for Sturridge to continue his good scoring form and end the season on over 10 goals, which is available at 13/8 (2.62).

Despite Sturridge’s impressive start to his career at Anfield, and the improved Liverpool forward line thanks to his signing and the timely return to fitness of Fabio Borini, it would be quite something if the England international netted at least nine more times with only 15 league games remaining.



If he keeps up his current hot-streak then it would be attainable, but for a player who has never scored more than 12 goals in a full season, to expect Sturridge to get to that tally in half a campaign is surely asking too much.

With Liverpool still competing in the FA Cup and Europa League such a haul may be possible in total, but to do so in just league matches would require unreserved backing and bank on no injuries.

Conversely, his odds of 5/2 (3.50) to fire less than five more Premier League efforts in 15 matches doesn’t seem to offer great value either, given how well he has taken to his new club.

With the other two options of 7-8 goals at 7/2 (4.50) and 9-10 goals 11/4 (3.75) offering better returns, it seems wisest to pick one of these selections.

9-10 league goals in total for the 2012/13 campaign would mean Sturridge adding either seven or eight to his current haul, and from 15 games that bet looks to be the strongest.

In a difficult market to predict, this option looks the best with the striker keen to impress new manager Brendan Rodgers in the coming months.

If Sturridge manages this many goals, and continues to combine with Suarez as well as Borini offering a threat off the bench, then Liverpool could also be a good punt for the top for at 8/1 (9.0), despite their lacklustre start to the season.

Jamie Dickenson is a 22-year-old freelance journalist who specialises in football, sports and betting.

More of his work can be found here – and you can also follow Jamie on

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